Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TOEWS Jackson | V V V V V | V V V V V | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 2 | CHUANG Oscar | V D V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 3 | ZHAO Nathan | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | KUE Temujin | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 5 | BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 6 | EDWARDS Connor | V V V V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 7 | HICKEY Connor | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 8 | SHI Boris | V D V D D | V V D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 9 | TAN Xinlai | V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 10 | LIU Yinhong | V V D V V | V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 11 | LU Alex | V D V V V | V D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 12 | DEPP Edward | D V V V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 13 | DAVIS Benjamin | D D V V V | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 14 | CRONK Trevor | V V V D D | V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 15 | MCCONKEY Tristan | D V V V D | V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 16 | ZMUDA Aiden | V V D D D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 17 | HONG Derek | V V V D V | D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 18 | WILEY Conor | D D V V V | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 19 | LINEBERRY CADEN | V D D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 20 | LI Andy | V V D V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 21 | FOSTERVOLD Castiel | V V D D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 22 | KOLACKI Gabriel | D D V D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 22 | HERRERA Xavier | V V D D D | V D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 24 | NAIR Rohan | D V V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 25 | MCGRATH Alex | V D V D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 26 | TIAN Nicolas | D V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 27 | WEBSTER Liam | D D D V V | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 28 | FEEHAN Conor | D D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 29 | SUNDSBAK Evan | D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 30 | WANG kevin | V D D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 31 | XIE Ethan | D D D D D | V D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 32 | BALES Gabriel | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | HOOVER Timothy | D D V V D | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 34 | KAGAN Noah | D V D V D | D | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 |
| 35 | SAITO Yuito | V V D D D | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 36 | NG Gavin | D V D D D | D | 0.2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| 37 | ZHAO Jason | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 38 | KIM Ethen | D D V D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 39 | RAVIPATI Suryatej | D D D D V | D | 0.3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| 40 | CHAN William | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 41 | NOWICKI William | D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 42 | HILDEBRANDT Gerhard | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |