Event Results
Phoenix Fencing Academy OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PALACIOS Justin | D V V V | V V V V V | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 2 | FOWLER James | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KING Charles | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | MUNOZ Charles | D D V V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | FOUST Blair | V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 6 | BELCHER Simon Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 7 | THORNE Casey | V D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | MCMANUS Farran | V D V D | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 9 | GROOM Layne | V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | WERCHAN Andrew | V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 11 | RITCHIE Phillip Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 12 | LYNN Heather | D V V V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 13 | CARTER Austin | V V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 14 | POPPRE Michael | D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 15 | ECKARD Zachary | D V D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 16 | MATTSON Kyle | V V D D | V | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 17 | PARKER Lane | D V V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 18 | VILLANI Henry | V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 19 | FESTIN Michael | D V V V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 20 | WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden | V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 21 | CUEVAS Tom Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 22 | SCOBIE Brendan Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 23 | FALEY Alexis | D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 24 | ARROYO Alexander | D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 25 | DITMANSON Frazier | V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 26 | SAUCEDO Fernando Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 27 | CIULLA Eric | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 28 | DINH Rachael | V D D D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 | |
| 29 | CONWAY Collin | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 30 | LAURSEN Logan | D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 31 | OWNBY ADKINS Harris | D V D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | PABLO Sebastian | D D D | V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 33 | BURGESS Meredith (Merry) | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 33 | WALKER Elijah | D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 35 | FOWLER Stephanie | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |