Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PALACIOS Justin | D V V V | V V V V V | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 2 | FOWLER James | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KING Charles | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | MUNOZ Charles | D D V V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | FOUST Blair | V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 7 | THORNE Casey | V D V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | MCMANUS Farran | V D V D | V V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 9 | GROOM Layne | V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | WERCHAN Andrew | V V V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 12 | LYNN Heather | D V V V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 13 | CARTER Austin | V V V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 14 | POPPRE Michael | D V V V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 15 | ECKARD Zachary | D V D | V D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 16 | MATTSON Kyle | V V D D | V | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 17 | PARKER Lane | D V V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 18 | VILLANI Henry | V V D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 19 | FESTIN Michael | D V V V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 20 | WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden | V D D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 23 | FALEY Alexis | D V D D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 24 | ARROYO Alexander | D V D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 25 | DITMANSON Frazier | V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 27 | CIULLA Eric | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 28 | DINH Rachael | V D D D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 | |
| 29 | CONWAY Collin | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 30 | LAURSEN Logan | D D D V | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 31 | OWNBY ADKINS Harris | D V D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 32 | PABLO Sebastian | D D D | V D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 33 | BURGESS Meredith (Merry) | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 33 | WALKER Elijah | D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 35 | FOWLER Stephanie | D D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.