Event Results

Div I-A Women's Saber

Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYCSurprise Map

Friday, September 25, 2026 at 9:00 AM Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House · Suffern, NY, USA
37 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 KNOBEL Sophia D V V V V V V V V V 3.5 4 +0.5
2 FOSS Persephone V V V V V V V V V D 3.1 5 +1.9
3 MAK Kaitlin D V D D V V V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
3 SUVOROVA Anna V V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
5 REN Katherine V V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
6 LEE Yejine V D V V V D V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
7 FAVO Isabella D V V D V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
8 CASTELO Soleil D D V V V V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
9 MACKAY Katherine V V D V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
10 WANG JiaQi D V V V D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
11 BIRNSTILL Reese V D V V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
12 KWON Ava V V D D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
13 ZHANG Audrey D D V D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
14 NANDA Maanika V D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
15 BOLT - TURNER Carmen D D D V D V V D 2.4 1 -1.4
16 VATS Ishita D V D D D V V D 2.3 1 -1.3
17 JOHNSON Neema V V V V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
18 LEE Alyson V V V V V D 2.9 5 +2.1
19 SUN Yi V V V D V D 3.4 4 +0.6
20 FUNG Iris D V V D V V D 3.1 4 +0.9
21 BARNES Sarah D V D V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
22 MYAT Chloe V D V V D D 3.1 3 -0.1
23 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. V D V D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
24 KARAVAS Lucy V V D D V D 0.9 3 +2.1
25 BORGUETA Madison V D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
26 NEDOPAKA Kateryna V V D D D D 2.5 2 -0.5
27 NIU Jessica D V D D V D 2.1 2 -0.1
28 DEMRY Kylee V D D V D D 1.3 2 +0.7
29 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. D D V V D D 3.6 2 -1.6
30 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous D D D V D V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
31 GOODWIN Julia D D D V D V D 1.3 1 -0.3
32 HOLMES Sabrina D D V D D V D 2.5 1 -1.5
33 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
34 SMITH Genevieve D V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
35 MULLER Inara D D D D D D 1.7 0 -1.7
36 MADDISON Estelle D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
37 ZHANG Emily D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%