Event Results

Div II Mixed Épée

SITS 3 Weapon C and UnderPool Heatmap

Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM Sword in the Scroll Fencing Academy · Willimantic, CT, USA
26 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
2 LIU George 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
3 SENERTH Ian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
3 SPRINGER Elijah 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 18%
5 PEGUS Izzy 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
6 BRATU Max 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
7 BOISLARD Jacob R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
8 HUDSON Sophie 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
9 STADINSKI Patrick 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
10 PELILLO Devyn 100% 98% 79% 35% 6% -
11 REARDON Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
12 HAYES Sean 100% 94% 62% 18% 2% -
13 DOERING Andrew 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
14 ORDORICA Abra 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1%
15 TETREAULT Todd 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
16 GAO David 100% 100% 91% 58% 17% 1%
17 VILLARS Philip 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1%
18 CROTTY James 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
19 THOMPSON Burnham (Burnie) W. Missing ID
20 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 75% 31% 6% - -
21 MCCONNELL Derek 100% 94% 67% 30% 6% -
22 WILLIAMSON Aria 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
23 FLANNICK Cole 100% 97% 61% 21% 4% - -
24 KELLY Diane A. 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% -
25 ZDROJOWY Keith 100% 90% 52% 13% 1% -
26 BERTRAND Gaelle 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -