Event Results

Div I Challenger Men's Saber

October NACPool Heatmap

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
140 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MINASIAN Mason 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
2 BOSITA Carson 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
3 KIM seoha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
3 WONG Mac 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
5 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 10%
6 TANI Tino 100% 99% 91% 59% 19% 2%
7 SUN Andrew 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
8 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
9 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
10 CHAN Henry 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
11 YU xiaodao 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
12 DOOLEY Atticus 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
13 WONG Lucas 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
14 DALEKOV Simeon 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
15 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 9%
16 SIDDIQUI Shayan 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 35% 9%
17 LINCOURT Arthur 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
18 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
19 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
20 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 9%
21 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
22 SO Preston 100% 100% 100% 97% 87% 59% 21%
23 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
24 ZHOU William 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 4%
25 BIGGIO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
26 ROH Jaden 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
27 LI Cooper 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 20% 4%
28 LIU Aaron 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
29 GATTO Enzo P. 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
30 TIAGI George 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
31 AO Christopher 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
32 HU Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
33 KOZLOFF Wyatt 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
34 WONG Max 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
35 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
36 LIN Grant 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 6%
37 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
38 LIU Victor 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
39 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
40 ANAND Rishab 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
41 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
42 STURGEON Cole 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 31% 7%
43 KANG Jeremy 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
44 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
45 VU Mark 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
46 HU Harry 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
47 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
48 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
49 CAI Jeff 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
50 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
51 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
52 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
53 ENE Michael 100% 97% 73% 35% 10% 1% -
54 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
54 LI Michael 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
56 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
57 LIU Jayden 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
58 WANG Alex 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
59 WAXLER Ryan 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
60 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
61 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
62 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
63 LEE Nathan Uju 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
64 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 13% 2%
65 WANG Theodore 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
66 BALU Aedan 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
67 IM Tyler 100% 100% 94% 67% 26% 4%
68 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
69 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
69 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1% -
71 CRICOL Damian 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 18%
72 YADAV Lakshya 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
73 LI Leo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
74 PARK Inwoo 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
75 ZHAO Chen Fei 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 21%
76 GUREWICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
77 LEE Brady 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
78 HU Jayden 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
79 TIAGI Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
80 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
81 LIU Guanyu 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
82 ZEYU wu 100% 92% 65% 32% 10% 2% -
83 WONG Ron 100% 94% 72% 40% 14% 3% -
84 WANG Edward 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
85 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
86 TANG Morgan 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
87 WONG Hawken 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
87 YU Jayden 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
89 CHAN Troy Devon 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
90 HALL Noah 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 9% 1%
91 XU Luke 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
92 LIU Ethan 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
93 BROOKS Theo 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
94 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
95 VO Blake 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
96 KONDOGI Saivarun 100% 65% 17% 2% - -
97 KANG Jayden 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
98 LEE Brandon 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
99 XIE Justin 100% 67% 18% 2% - -
100 SUN Andy 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
101 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
102 KIM Enoch 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
103 NGO Emerson 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
104 WASCO Andrew 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 8% 1%
105 MOON Noah 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
106 GUO Kesson 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
107 LIU Marvin 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
108 MARQUEZ Jeremy 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
108 SRA Nawab 100% 60% 20% 4% - - -
108 EL BEHARY Kareem 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
111 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
112 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
113 SUN Eon 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
114 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
115 BURGESS Beckham 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
116 VEDRE Neil 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
117 CHAN Elliott 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
118 SCHNEIDER Allen J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
119 SONG Aidan 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1%
120 SRIVATSAV Ishaan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
121 CHENG Brandon 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
122 AN Chris 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
123 HENRY Cadel 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
124 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
124 YANG Jake 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
126 HU Andrew 100% 71% 28% 6% 1% - -
127 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 93% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
128 PEREIRA Beckham 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
129 XIAO Brayden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
129 GU Andrew 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
131 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
131 ELBAKRY Ahmed 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
133 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
134 COBIAN Richard 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
135 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 54% 15% 2% -
136 LIU Jerry 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
137 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 4%
138 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
139 BERKOWITZ Gavin 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
140 YU BOWEN 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%