Event Results

Y-10 Women's Saber

TMFC Manhattan Cup #1Surprise Map

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 2:30 PM Tim Morehouse Fencing Club · New York, NY, USA
5 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 TSE Mackenzie D V V V V V 0.6 3 +2.4
2 XU Claire D V V V V D 3.0 3 -
3 WU Arielle V V D V D 1.5 3 +1.5
3 ADDAS Olivia D D D D V D 2.9 0 -2.9
5 WALTON Charlie V D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%