Event Results

Y-12 Women's Saber

TMFC Manhattan Cup #1Surprise Map

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM Tim Morehouse Fencing Club · New York, NY, USA
9 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 KWAK Olivia V V V V V V V 1.4 4 +2.6
2 BUBLIK Elizabeth V D V D V V D 1.4 2 +0.6
3 BAH Charlie V V V V D 1.2 3 +1.8
3 GRUNFELD Charlotte D V D V V D 2.2 2 -0.2
5 MOINGEON Stella V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
6 ZHANG Jessie V D D V D 3.4 2 -1.4
7 OXENDINE Kanon D V D D 1.6 1 -0.6
8 LACK Vivian D D D D V D 1.6 0 -1.6
9 HARRISON Evelyn D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%