Event Results
Fall Frolic 2026Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LAUSI Patrick M. | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 2 | DUBE Ian D. | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 3 | COLLETTE Tobias | V D V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | SATTERLY Avery | V D V V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | LUNSFORD Hayden | V V V D V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | SPELL Kayla | V V V D V | V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 7 | MIRAVALLE Nicholas | D V D V V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 8 | CARDINAL Elise | V D D V V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 9 | HAZEL Susan L. | V V D V D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 10 | HOWELL Patrick | D V D V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 11 | VILLANI Shayla | V D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 12 | BROOKS Elijah | D D V D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 13 | BRUTUS Samara | D D D V D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 14 | CHIKHLIKER Mary Ellis | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 15 | FISHER Natalie | D V D D D | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 16 | WALKER Kendall | D D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 17 | KATZER Cason | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 18 | LONG Ronan | D D D D D | D | 3.1 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |