Event Results

Div III Men's Foil

The Harvest CupPool Heatmap

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 1:00 PM Iconic Fencing Club · Wallingford, CT, USA
23 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
2 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
3 QUAN Noah 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 2%
3 FROST Chayse 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
5 CELESTE Ezra 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 15% 2%
6 AMEND Jake 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
7 HOWARD Fox 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 14% 2%
8 JEFF Ariff 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
9 KEEGAN Cole 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
10 BRADY David 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
11 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
12 JOHNSON Matthew 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1% -
13 BRAWN Gavin 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
14 ARENBERG Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 25% 5%
15 WARNOCK David 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% - -
16 WONG Jasper 100% 81% 39% 11% 2% - - -
17 MANCHALA Vedanth 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
18 LYNDERS William 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
19 DILEONE Julian 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
20 DEXTER Zebulon 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% 1% - -
21 LAROCCO Patrick 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - - -
22 ARENBERG Jason 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
23 DAVIS Wade 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - - -