Event Results
DFA Fall Series: Unrated Senior Mixed Epee, Open Senior Mixed Epee. Cadet Div 3 Women's Epee, Unrated Senior Mixed Foil, Open Senior Mixed FoilSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BANDEGAN Audreen | D D V V V | V V V V | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 2 | AHN Theodore | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 3 | WENDLER Lauren | V V V V D V | V V D | 4.9 | 5 | +0.1 |
| 3 | NA RONGYAO | V V V V V | V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | BONELLO Eugenio | V D V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | SITU Baiqin | D D V V V V | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 7 | MENDOZA Ethanial | V D V D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 8 | HINTZ Rayan | D V D D D | V V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 9 | TEJAKUSUMA Eric | V V V V V V | D | 4.4 | 6 | +1.6 |
| 10 | SILVER Nicole | V V D V V | D | 2.0 | 4 | +2.0 |
| 11 | OH Isaiah | V V D V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 12 | MESSINA Liam | D V D V V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 13 | DOBBINS Mateo | V D D D D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 14 | RAMIREZ Jordan | D V D D D | D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 15 | BLANCETT Molly | D D D D V | V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 16 | MONOLAKIS Steven | D D V D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 17 | ANTONINI Eric | V D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 18 | KNIGHT Kate | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 19 | ANTONINI Lorenzo | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |