Event Results

Div I-A Men's Saber

TMFC Cup #1: Div1a, Jr. and CdtPool Heatmap

Friday, October 16, 2026 at 8:00 PM Tim Morehouse Fencing CLub East Side · New York, NY, USA
14 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ELARABY Mazen 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
2 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 90% 48%
3 YOOK Isaac 100% 100% 100% 97% 67% 18%
3 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39% 4%
5 CHIANG Ethan 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% - -
6 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 92% 47% 8%
7 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30% 3%
8 ZHANG Eric 100% 86% 42% 5% - -
9 LEISTNER Armin 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - - -
10 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1% -
11 SEDAKA Dylan 100% 64% 17% 1% - -
12 LI Brian 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
13 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 81% 33% 3% - -
14 QIN Lucas 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - - -