Event Results

Unrated Mixed Foil

RYF/RMSA Dollar ChallengeSurprise Map

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 9:00 AM Rochester Math & Science Academy (RMSA) · Rochester MN, MN, USA
19 finishers
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 MOGENSEN Ezra V V V V D V V V V V 3.9 5 +1.1
2 CHO Joseph V V V V V V V V D 4.6 5 +0.4
3 HICKMAN Noah V V V V D D V V D 3.8 4 +0.2
4 WINTERS Linus D V V V V V V D 1.4 4 +2.6
5 LAMAR Louis D V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
6 CHRISTENSEN Jack D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
7 SERDIUK Anna V D D V V V V D 1.2 4 +2.8
8 MOHAMED Ahmed D V D V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
9 CHAN AARON V V V D D D 4.4 3 -1.4
10 HARRIS Nathan V V D D D D 2.2 2 -0.2
11 PHINGPHA Avarie V D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
12 YANG Ziwen D V V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
13 ATKINS Bonham D D V V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
14 CHOI Zion D V V D D D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
15 ZHAN Ethan D D D D V V D 0.9 1 +0.1
16 GUYSE Kellan V D D D D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
17 AHRENS Declan D D D D V D 2.2 1 -1.2
18 WOODROUGH Honor D D D D V D D 2.0 1 -1.0
19 LUO Natalie D D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%