Event Preview
March NACSunday, March 6, 2022 at 1:00 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3232 | 3487 - 3107 |
| 5 - 8 | 3031 | 3068 - 2995 |
| 9 - 16 | 2921 | 2988 - 2870 |
| 17 - 32 | 2785 | 2861 - 2701 |
| 33 - 64 | 2546 | 2697 - 2377 |
| 65 - 128 | 2064 | 2379 - 1588 |
| 129 - 142 | 1561 | 2014 - 1331 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.