Event Results

Div III Mixed Épée

Troy Cullen Memorial/Halloween Open 2026Surprise Map

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 1:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
42 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 TIKHAEV Alexander D V V V V V V V V V V 4.5 5 +0.5
2 CASSIDY Leo V V V D V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
3 FEAGIN Patrick D V V V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
3 PANE Patrick V V V V V V V V V D 3.3 6 +2.7
5 TANG Justin V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
6 ZIMSKY James V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
7 BADOVICK Ronan V V V D V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
8 MCCABE Kian V V V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
9 MAZZONE Jacqueline V V V V V D V D 3.5 5 +1.5
10 KELLEY Nathan V V V D V V V D 3.7 5 +1.3
11 FISH Bradley V V V V V D V D 2.1 5 +2.9
11 MCCARTHY Liam D V V V V V V D 1.8 5 +3.2
13 MILLNER Brian D V V V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
14 WHITE Elijah V D V V V D V D 2.2 4 +1.8
15 RAWSON Nicholas V D D V V V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
16 WU Maximilian V V D V D D V D 4.9 3 -1.9
17 IYER Matthias V D V V V D D 1.9 4 +2.1
18 LEI Angeline V V V V D D D 2.6 4 +1.4
19 CARR Wesley V D D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
20 CHIVUKULA Prateek V V D D D V D 4.3 3 -1.3
21 RAISER Geoffrey V V D D V D D 4.4 3 -1.4
22 HARRINGTON Titus D D V V V D D 3.0 3 -
23 KRECK Marie V D V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
24 LUKOIANOVE Peter D V D D D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
25 MICHAEL Gabriel D D V D V D V D 4.6 2 -2.6
26 POLSGROVE tanner D D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
27 GRIFFITH Riley D V D D V D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
27 BHARDWAJ Akshaj D D D D V V V D 3.8 2 -1.8
29 GUARDIOLA JR Oscar V D V D D D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
30 COTHRAN Nicholas V D D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
31 SMITHSON Matthew D D D D V D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
32 MINER Eisley D D V D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
33 JOHNSTON Jessica D D D V D V D 1.6 2 +0.4
34 AKKALE Reyhan V D D D D V D 1.2 2 +0.8
35 CONNORS Brady D V D D D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
36 HEATH Sarah D D V D D D D 1.5 1 -0.5
37 JOHNSTON Kira D D D V D D D 2.5 1 -1.5
37 KHER Jacqie D D D V D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
39 COX Jeniffer V D D D D D D 0.5 1 +0.5
40 LAVENDER William D D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
41 MEYER Maeve D D D D D D D 1.9 0 -1.9
42 EINOLF Maxfield D D D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%