Event Results

Senior Mixed Saber

Troy Cullen Memorial/Halloween Open 2026Surprise Map

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 4:00 PM William & Mary Adair Gym · Williamsburg, VA, USA
35 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 FENG Brendan V V V V V V V V V V V 4.9 6 +1.1
2 FAN Alexandria V V V V V V V V V V D 3.0 6 +3.0
3 BENE Andrew V V V V D V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
3 BENE Paul D V V V V V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
5 WITCZAK Mateus V V V V V V V V D 5.3 6 +0.7
6 HEANEY Sam V V V V V D V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
7 LIAO Sirui V D D V V V V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
8 ELIAN David V D V D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
9 RAUSCHER Ryan V V V V V V V D 5.5 6 +0.5
10 PARCELL Colby V V D V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
11 GOSNELL James V V D V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
12 SEMP Brannon A. V V V V D D V D 4.6 4 -0.6
13 ZHANG Manyao D V V D V D V D 3.3 3 -0.3
14 MOFFITT William D D V V V D V D 2.4 3 +0.6
15 GIPE Caleb V D V D V D V D 0.7 3 +2.3
16 GOLART Dylan D D D V V D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
17 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. D D V V V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
18 WANG Ziyao V V V D D D D 3.0 3 -
19 FLEEGER Sophia D D V V V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
20 EVELYN Wyatt D V D D V V D 1.7 3 +1.3
21 SILK Ryan D D V V D V D 1.8 3 +1.2
22 DADIO Daniel D D D V D V D 2.3 2 -0.3
23 WIZEMAN Nathan D D V D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
24 CARNAVAL Rafael V V D D D D D 3.9 2 -1.9
25 DELK-REYES Travis D V D D D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
26 SHELLY Emery V D D D D V D 2.5 2 -0.5
27 ALLEN Asa D D V D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
28 YAMATANI Michael V D D D V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
29 SU Ji D D V D D D D 3.3 1 -2.3
30 WERNER Alexander D V D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
31 HO Vinh Khuong D D D D V D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
32 HULL Liam D D V D D D V D 2.9 1 -1.9
33 DIEBLER Noah D D D D D D D 2.8 0 -2.8
34 SCHUPPIN Charles D D D D D D D 1.0 0 -1.0
35 RILEY Emma D D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%