Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #1Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PETROSYAN David | V V V V | V V V | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 2 | CHANG Isaac | V D V V | V V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 3 | ZHENG TERNENCE | V D D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 3 | PETROSYAN Maxim | D V D V | V D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 5 | IM Noah | V V V D | D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 6 | LIU Allen | D V V V | D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 7 | RADELL Zachary | V V D D | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 8 | STEVENS Raymond | D D D D | V D | 2.8 | 0 | -2.8 |
| 9 | WASSERMAN Austin | D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 10 | CHEN Kai | D D D D | D | 2.6 | 0 | -2.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |