January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Monday, January 7, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC - Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LINDER James (Luke) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
2 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
5 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
6 CHIARA ANGELO M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
7 LEVITT Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
8 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
9 CAI Erwin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
10 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 10%
11 KWAK Daniel (Dongwon) 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
12 WALKER Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
13 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 11%
14 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
15 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
16 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
17 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
18 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
19 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
20 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
21 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
22 SZETO Brian 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
23 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
24 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
25 KIM Shawn J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
26 ELARAB Mazen 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
27 CAUCHON Francois 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
28 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
29 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
30 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
31 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
32 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
33 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 54%
33 MENG Bolang B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
35 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
36 MORICZ Hunter 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
37 LIN Lucas H. 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
38 CALLAHAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
39 MOISE Bryan R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
40 SCHOLL Ben Q. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6% -
41 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 3%
42 KULDELL Spencer D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
43 DINU Nicholas D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
44 OH Jason H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
45 KALUZA Pierre-Frédéric 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
46 REESE Aaron S. 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
47 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 43% 6%
48 JULIEN William A 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
49 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
50 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
51 ATTIG Will T. 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4% -
52 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
53 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
54 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
55 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
56 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
57 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
58 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
59 HU William 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
60 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
61 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8% -
62 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
63 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 94% 63% 24% 5% 1% -
64 CHEN Alan 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
65 KIM Brian S. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
66 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
67 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
68 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
69 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
70 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
71 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 11%
72 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
73 LEE Kyle 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
74 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8%
75 DEL VECCHIO Nicolas (None PLEASE) S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
76 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
76 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
78 LIN John A. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
79 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9% -
80 SOHN Joshua C. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
81 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
82 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
83 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 97% 78% 41% 10% -
84 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
85 BROWNE JR ROLSTON D. 100% 98% 84% 46% 12% 1%
86 TRACY Jahi 100% 88% 39% 8% 1% -
87 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
88 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
89 LAI Adam J. 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
90 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
90 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
92 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
93 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
94 YUAN Ronald I. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
94 LIN Xiteng (Steven) 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
96 RAMAN Easwer 100% 98% 79% 40% 11% 1% -
97 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
98 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 98% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
99 WOOD Vance H. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
100 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2% -
101 BALDI Ryan 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
102 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
102 HENNICKE Michael G. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
104 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
105 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 1%
106 BARNETT Adam 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
107 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
108 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
108 YAN Jack P. 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
110 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
111 HAN Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
111 BRADFORD Blake 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
113 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
114 LU Berwyn D. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
115 WEI Andrew 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
116 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2%
117 DAMMER Mark W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
118 STONE Ben 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
119 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3% -
120 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
121 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
122 FANG David S. 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
123 HINGNEKAR Aniket 100% 36% 5% - - - -
124 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
125 BACON Elias (Eli) H. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
126 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Akhil 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
127 GEORGE Firoz V. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
128 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
129 MURTAUGH Arthur C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
130 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 57% 15%
130 OLMSTEAD Aaron R. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
132 KANG Brandon M. 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
133 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
134 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 89% 59% 23% 5% -
135 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
136 HONG Elijah S. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
137 CHU Cameron 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
137 ZU Kevin 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
139 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
140 HARLEY Sage N. 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
141 MARSEE James 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
142 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
143 GREMILLION Ezekiel R. 100% 31% 4% - - - -
144 WUN William 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
145 TANG Brendan J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
146 LAI Eric A. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
146 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
148 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
149 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
150 LIN William 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
151 BARNETT Peter 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
151 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
151 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
154 STONE Christopher A. 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
155 CHU Devin 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
156 TRAVAGLIONE Conor D. 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
157 PARK Collin D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
158 LAURIN Charles-Antoine 100% 99% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
159 WOLIN Zachary A. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
160 HEATHCOCK Colin 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
161 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
162 DESCHERER David 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2%
163 TONG Qilin 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
164 SMITH David C. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
165 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1%
166 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
167 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
168 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 99% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
169 LOBO-BERG Gabriel (G) K. 100% 93% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
170 RUNDLETT Jakob C. 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
171 RICH Jack 100% 68% 23% 4% - - -
172 BOUANANI Zachariah I. 100% 90% 57% 20% 4% - -
173 XU Ryan 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4% -
173 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
175 LEUNG Matthew 100% 22% 2% - - - -
175 WU Nicholas R. 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
177 AURAY Phileas 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
177 KAHN Justin M. 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
180 FILS-AIME Jacob E. 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
180 CHACON Fernando F. 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
182 GRATHWOL-SEAR Sebastian 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
183 VACCARI Braden 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% - -
184 ALLUM Christopher T. 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
185 FEENEY Sean 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
186 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
187 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
188 ZHOU Kevin 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
188 QIU Le 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
190 GANTA Vijay 100% 38% 6% - - - -
191 PARKER Timothy S. 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
192 KAUFMAN III Robert (Trey) G. 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
192 OSGOOD Devon 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
194 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
195 HUAYTA James W. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
196 MOORE Evan M. 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
196 WESLER Logan A. 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
196 GORMAN Liam 100% 13% 1% - - - -
199 WRIGHT Athan 100% 69% 21% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.