Event Results

Senior Women's Épée

MFA Saturday Epee (Sanctioned - Woman and Mixed)Surprise Map

Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:30 PM Marin Fencing Academy · San Rafael, CA, USA
26 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SMIRNOVA Evangelina D V V V V V V V V V 1.8 4 +2.2
2 CHALLAMEL Heloise V V D V D V V V V D 1.1 3 +1.9
3 CHEN Zizhou Julia V V V V D V V V V D 2.6 5 +2.4
3 FLYNN Kensington D V V V V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
5 MIYOSHI Kylie V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
6 ZHAO Emma V V V V V V V D 3.6 6 +2.4
7 KROTZ Gemma V V V V V V D 3.9 5 +1.1
8 REN Ivanka V D D D V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
9 HOFMAN Haejung V V V V V D 5.3 5 -0.3
10 CHANG Heidi D V V V V V D 5.9 5 -0.9
11 BUDMAN Ava V V D V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
12 THOMSON Sarah V D V V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
13 SMITH Marissa D D V V V V D 2.1 3 +0.9
14 STANICA Teodora O. V D D V D V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
15 BOWEN Victoria M. D D V D V V D 3.3 2 -1.3
16 RADICH Lori G. V D D D D V D 2.9 1 -1.9
17 HOFF Stephanie D D V D D D 2.6 1 -1.6
18 LIANG Yueyan V D D D D D 2.8 1 -1.8
19 ESTRADA Anna G. D V D D D D 2.3 1 -1.3
20 NEEL Ava D V D D D D D 0.4 1 +0.6
21 SANDOVAL Rosaura D D D V D D D 3.0 1 -2.0
22 LACEY Catherine D D D D D V D 2.0 1 -1.0
23 NATHE Ana V D D D D D D 3.4 1 -2.4
24 SIU Angela D D D D V D D 1.0 1 -
25 MOZAFFARIAN Audrey D D V D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
26 ALIOTO Sonia D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%