Silicon Valley RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Sunday, March 31, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Santa Clara, CA - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
2	PENG Amber L.	-	-	1%	6%	25%	42%	26%
3	PANT Anisha	-	-	-	2%	13%	40%	46%
3	SU Alena J.	-	-	3%	18%	37%	32%	9%
5	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	20%
6	KOSLOW Amicie	-	1%	9%	32%	42%	16%
7	LUO Sandra J.	-	5%	23%	42%	25%	5%
8	TOM Caitlyn	-	2%	11%	31%	38%	17%	2%
9	CHANG Elizabeth	-	-	-	6%	38%	56%
10	RANDOLPH Piper	-	1%	5%	19%	35%	31%	10%
11	LEE Bethanie	-	-	2%	16%	44%	37%
12	BHARATHI Maithreyi S.	-	1%	7%	26%	38%	23%	5%
13	VO Bao-Vy	-	5%	21%	37%	29%	8%	-
14	HWANG Jungmin	-	4%	21%	41%	28%	6%
15	ZHANG Eunice	-	-	4%	24%	52%	20%
16	NAIR Supriya	-	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	2%
17	WANG Zoie Z.	-	-	3%	20%	44%	32%
18	WELBORN Calissa	2%	15%	33%	33%	15%	3%	-
19	LEE Samantha X.	-	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	-
20	CASTANEDA Keira	-	1%	8%	31%	44%	17%
21	NICKOLOV Nora	5%	26%	41%	24%	4%	-
22	XU Audrey J.	2%	16%	39%	34%	8%	1%
23	HAN Crystal	-	1%	6%	22%	38%	27%	6%
24	ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika	1%	9%	29%	36%	21%	5%	-
25	BOLES Amanda X.	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
26	LUH Mia P.	6%	34%	41%	16%	3%	-
27	MANIKTALA Prisha	2%	19%	42%	28%	7%	1%
28	FUNG Emma	-	5%	18%	33%	29%	12%	2%
29	CHEN Chloe I.	-	1%	8%	29%	39%	20%	4%
30	ZHENG Zoe	2%	23%	39%	26%	8%	1%	-
31	HAN Ashley	2%	16%	35%	31%	13%	2%	-
32	PENG Charlotte	1%	12%	30%	34%	18%	5%	-
33	TSANG Catherine	1%	14%	40%	32%	11%	2%	-
34	WANG Celine S.	4%	19%	34%	29%	13%	3%	-
35	MANN Sophia J.	6%	31%	41%	19%	3%	-
36	THOMAS Saejel	60%	34%	6%	-	-	-
37	ENRILE Erica	28%	44%	23%	5%	-	-
38	FUNG Vera	45%	40%	13%	2%	-	-	-
39	CONTOS Athena	17%	51%	27%	5%	-	-	-
40	SINGH Ashni	39%	41%	16%	3%	-	-	-
41	EBERHART Ava	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	7%	1%
42	DAYAL Saahira	10%	42%	36%	11%	1%	-
43	HO Kristen	53%	37%	9%	1%	-	-
46	YANG Chloee	56%	37%	7%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Want to keep up with all things fencingtracker? Join our Discord community here.