AFC's D and Under Foil (Epee is cancelled)

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 16, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Austin Fencers Club - Austin, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HAMMEL Blaine W. 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 4%
2 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 PIERCE Logan 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
3 CHEN Felix 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
5 STEPHENSON Jenna 100% 99% 86% 48% 10%
6 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 99% 84% 41% 5%
7 KIM Adrian 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
8 CAPRA Ethan 100% 92% 58% 18% 2%
9 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
10 HERNANDEZ Marc A. 100% 98% 82% 40% 5%
11 SINGH Kushaal 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
12 MALLET Catherine 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5%
13 SULTER Aurelie 100% 100% 96% 70% 14%
14 KUO Chris C. 100% 51% 13% 2% -
15 APPL Eli 100% 66% 22% 3% -
16 MURRAY Sr. Gary L. 100% 90% 50% 8% -
17 WISEMAN Margaret (Daisy) 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
18 MASON-DARNELL Zoe 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
19 ROUSE Tucker 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4%
20 VANDE VELDE Rebekah 100% 98% 74% 30% 4% -
21 BIEBERICH John 100% 95% 66% 23% 2%
22 LINKOUS Carter 100% 67% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.