December NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Sunday, December 16, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
2 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 40%
3 SPEAR Jeff 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 METRYKA Karol 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
5 COSTIN Michael V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
6 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
7 SPEAR Will 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
8 KOLASA Thomas M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
9 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
10 ARFA Fares 100% 100% 95% 71% 25% 3%
11 IGOE Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
12 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
13 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
14 KANARY Logan A. 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3% -
15 FLORENCIA Hector 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
16 ZHAO Raymond H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
17 CONTRERAS Alessandro 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
18 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
19 KIM Charlson 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
20 GOODE Matthew (Matt) G. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
21 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
22 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
23 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
24 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
25 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
26 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
27 MARCUS Benjamin H. 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
28 JOHNSON Zachary (Zack) C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
29 DI TELLA Pascual M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
30 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
31 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
32 SCHOLL Ben Q. 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
33 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 15%
34 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
35 MERCHANT Julian T. 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 2%
36 LEVITT Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 7%
37 LOSS Geoffrey M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
38 SWARTZ Roscoe O. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
39 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% -
40 LIU Jesse Y. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
41 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 31% 4%
42 CENTANNI Salvatore (Sal) M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
43 CHEN Alan 100% 97% 77% 43% 14% 3% -
44 DESCHERER David 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 5%
45 BAK Daniel 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
46 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
47 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
48 GUY Philippe 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
49 CAMPBELL Colin B. 100% 98% 88% 60% 28% 7% 1%
50 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
51 ROTENSTEIN Leon G. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
52 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
53 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
54 MOISE Bryan R. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
55 LANDAU Nathaniel (Nat) B. 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
56 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 96% 51% 14% 2% -
57 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 3%
58 BUENAVENTURA Christian 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
59 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
60 KIM Brian S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
61 HU William 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
62 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5%
63 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
64 WOOD Elden S. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 4% -
65 JULIEN William A 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
66 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
67 GRUBE Sterling T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 11%
68 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
69 YEN Darren 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
70 ROHRLACK Charles (Charlie) F. 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
71 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
72 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
73 MIKA Casper 100% 99% 89% 59% 25% 5% -
74 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
75 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
76 KENNEDY Falan M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
77 BERKAY Deniz 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
78 RICHARDSON Andrew 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
79 RICH Augustus (Gus) G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
80 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 2%
81 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
82 GREEN Adam M. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
83 LIN John A. 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 6%
84 DODRILL Grant 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
85 STONE Ben 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
86 KOKOSINSKI Eryk 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
87 DOARES Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
88 COPELAND Oliver E. 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 4% -
89 QIU Le 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
90 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
91 LORTKIPANIDZE Guram 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
92 PHILLIPS Kim V. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
93 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
94 KARNES Jameson D. 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% - -
95 WU Nicholas R. 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
96 RAINVILLE-POND Schuyler J. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
97 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
98 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
99 ALLUM Christopher T. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
99 MURTHY mukund 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
101 MARSEE James 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
102 HAYES Matthew T. 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
103 NADILE Henry V. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
104 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
105 BRADFORD Blake 100% 95% 68% 27% 4% -
106 CHAN Zachary D. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
107 PREVEY-SULLIVAN Owen D. 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
108 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 73% 29% 5% - - -
109 MATHARU Sukhveer 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
110 VACCARI Braden 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
111 LAI Adam J. 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
112 THORNTON Ronald J. 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
113 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
114 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
115 DANIELS Douglas A. 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
116 SHANAHAN Adam E. 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
117 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 99% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
118 COHEN Samuel D. 100% 68% 22% 2% - -
119 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% -
120 BURR Tanner B. 100% 16% 1% - - -
121 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
121 ARNIPALLI Shanvanth 100% 68% 20% 3% - - -
123 SEVOSTYANOV Stepan (Seva) 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% -
123 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
125 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
126 HANEY Vincent 100% 72% 28% 6% - - -
127 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 66% 25% 6% 1% - -
128 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.