Mission RJCC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 7, 2018 at 8:30 AM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LEE Yejine	3%	18%	36%	31%	11%	1%
2	YEE-WADSWORTH Sofia L.	-	1%	8%	23%	34%	25%	7%
3	CHOI Lyla	4%	20%	34%	28%	11%	2%	-
3	SMUK Daria A.	-	-	1%	13%	47%	39%
5	CHIN Isabella	-	-	1%	5%	24%	46%	25%
6	SHOATES Jacqueline A.	-	1%	11%	35%	38%	14%
7	ROBERTS Gabrielle W.	-	-	1%	7%	34%	58%
8	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	-	1%	4%	15%	32%	34%	14%
9	SIDDIQUI Ammna K.	1%	11%	29%	34%	20%	5%	1%
10	LIN Julia L.	-	3%	21%	44%	29%	3%
11	CAO Catherine H.	-	3%	20%	42%	30%	5%
12	NICOU Nicole	2%	12%	30%	33%	18%	5%	-
13	SLACKMAN Valerie	4%	19%	33%	28%	13%	3%	-
14	PERALTA-VIRTUE Kamilla M.	-	1%	9%	26%	36%	23%	5%
15	MUELLER Victoria E.	2%	11%	27%	32%	21%	6%	1%
16	HUH Anna	10%	32%	36%	17%	4%	-	-
17	KAIN Isabel J.	-	-	1%	8%	37%	46%	10%
18	DOUGLAS Julia F.	-	4%	31%	50%	15%	1%
19	EBRAHIM Ameera H.	8%	28%	36%	21%	6%	1%	-
21	MCGEE Sophia	5%	22%	36%	26%	9%	1%	-
22	BECCHINA Olivia	-	2%	9%	24%	34%	25%	7%
23	GLASSNER Sophia Rose S.	6%	29%	41%	20%	3%	-
24	LEE Olive	-	1%	8%	24%	36%	25%	6%
25	LI AnnieSiliang	3%	18%	34%	30%	13%	2%	-
26	ZAKHAROV Anne E.	11%	31%	35%	18%	5%	1%	-
27	PATEL Viha	13%	42%	34%	10%	1%	-
28	MURRELL Jessica L.	14%	44%	35%	6%	-	-
29	XU jessica	40%	43%	15%	2%	-	-
30	TAVERA Abigail	29%	45%	22%	4%	-	-
31	SAAL Anna	-	3%	15%	31%	32%	16%	3%
32	LI Alisha	1%	6%	23%	36%	26%	8%	1%
33	SMITH Grace K.	9%	29%	36%	20%	5%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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