December NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Cincinnati, OH - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
2 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
3 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
3 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
5 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
6 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
7 KIEFER Axel M. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
8 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
9 ORTS Lucas E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
9 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
11 BARMANN Samuel (Sam) I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
12 PAIK Joon K. 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
13 KNODT Julian P. 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 4%
14 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
15 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
16 HADLER David J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
17 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
17 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
19 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
20 KANESHIGE Brian K. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7%
21 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
22 BRAVO Kenji U. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
23 DAYTON Draper 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
24 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
25 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
26 PAIK Hyun K. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 15% 2%
27 WANG Brian S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
28 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 17%
29 ZAKHARIKOV Anton 100% 97% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
30 LEVY Jasper 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
31 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
32 TICHACEK Matthew J. 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
33 CONDIFF Noah L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 16%
34 CHEN Raymond 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
35 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
36 LEVIN Nestor R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 26% 4%
37 WONG Robert (Bobby) B. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
38 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
40 MOELIS Samuel (Sam) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
41 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
42 HUANG Bin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
42 KUCEBA Vitalijs 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
44 ANDRADE Nicholas H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
45 DING Allan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
47 JOHNSON Aidan J. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
48 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
49 RICCIO Frank J. 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 2% -
50 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% - -
51 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
53 GRUBER Samuel T. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
54 ZHENG Andrew R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 8%
55 HU James (Jimmy) Y. 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
56 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5%
57 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
58 HODGES Carter F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
59 JOHNSON Cole B. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
60 HADLER Benjamin N. 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
62 HOLMES Stuart S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
63 DORITY Philip S. 100% 98% 89% 64% 33% 10% 1%
65 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6%
65 MCKENNA Joseph (Owen) O. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
67 LIAO Jun Heng (James) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
68 DING Andrew Y. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
69 KONG Kenneth 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
70 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
71 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 86% 45% 10% 1% - -
72 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 71% 37% 9%
73 YEE Maxwell J. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
73 GRIFFITH Jordan 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 2%
75 PARKINS Benjamin B. 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 7% 1%
76 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
76 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
76 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
79 BERMENDER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 4%
80 SENIC Anatolie 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
81 DEBACK Maximus (Max) X. 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
82 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 12%
83 HAMILTON Bogdan A. 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11% 1%
84 REALS Alden D. 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
85 MARINO Joseph A. 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
86 LOPEZ Carlos D. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 3%
87 MCGILLION-MOORE Jake 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
88 YU Vinni 100% 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 1%
89 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
90 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
91 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
92 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 30%
93 JEON Nathan S. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
94 KO Brian J. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
95 LU Kerry L. 100% 99% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1%
96 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
97 MILLER Jeffrey E. 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
98 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
99 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
100 PITCHER Skylar L. 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
101 SAMORA Jose G. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
102 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
103 CAO Leon M. 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
104 BURTE Alexander J. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
105 TESCHE Askhat D. 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
106 GORDON Jacob 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
106 GORDON-SAND Spencer 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
108 GAZIANO William F. 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% - -
109 NOVACHENKO Nestor V. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
109 SPEVAK Alexander 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
111 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
112 UPTON Michael 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
113 CANDESCU Cristian 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
114 HERGAN Daniel 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
115 RANADIVE Rishi R. 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2%
116 KOECK Tomas E. 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
117 ZHOU TIMMY 100% 81% 36% 8% 1% - -
118 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
119 GRASSE Ellis A. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% -
120 LEWICKI Max 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
121 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 2%
121 ROMANOV Michael 100% 95% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
123 SMITH Liam C. 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
124 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1%
125 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
126 ADLER David R. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
126 LI Raphael C. 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% - -
128 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
129 TIERNEY David A. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
130 YANG Adam 100% 97% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
131 PANAGIEV Stefan-Damian D. 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
133 LIU Jonathan C. 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
134 PETER Griffin 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
134 KELLY William J. 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
136 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
137 GAUDET Paul D. 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
137 VANNI Filippo A. 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
139 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
140 TRASCHENKO POCHMARA Jacob 100% 91% 53% 13% 2% - -
141 FARQUHARSON Cole 100% 97% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
142 WU Albert 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
142 PATEL Aryoman M. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
144 COOK John J. 100% 38% 4% - - - -
145 WETMORE Lucas W. 100% 74% 33% 9% 1% - -
146 ZILINSKIY Eduard 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
147 HAY Gavin 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
149 TYSHCHENKO Andrey 100% 85% 35% 7% 1% - -
150 FLANAGAN James 100% 92% 54% 15% 2% -
151 KNIGHT Ethan H. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
152 PETERS Nathan M. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
153 OUELLETTE David M. 100% 87% 56% 23% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.