The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

BladeRunner 2018 Div 1A ROC & RJC

Div I-A Women's Foil

Saturday, November 3, 2018 at 1:00 PM

La Jolla, CA - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIAO Madeline M. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
2 KNIGHT Skylar - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
3 BIASCO Anna - 1% 11% 34% 41% 13%
3 BHANOT Gayatri - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
5 TAN Elisha - - - 3% 15% 40% 41%
6 IBEN Claire L. - 3% 19% 40% 31% 7%
7 LEE Alina 1% 6% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
8 FERNANDES Thea 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 5%
9 NISHIMURA Madeleine A. - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 20%
10 LU Tiffany J. - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
11 YANKOVSKIY Anastasia - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
12 MASUI Konami W. - - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6%
13 CHO Taylor S. - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
14 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 1% 10% 32% 39% 17% 1%
15 GOMES Rafaella T. - - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
16 COLA Emmanuelle (Emma) R. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
17 LEE Brianna J. - - 1% 7% 36% 56%
18 LUONG Joanne K. - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
19 MERGES Gretl C. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
20 PETROVA Kristina - - 3% 15% 32% 35% 14%
21 CHO Gracie L. - 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
22 UYANIK Nerine - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
23 SEAL Julie T. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
24 CHO Cameron S. 1% 10% 29% 34% 20% 5% -
25 FAN Elaine 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
26 DUAN Konnie 5% 23% 39% 27% 7% -
27 KONG Chin-Yi 2% 14% 30% 33% 18% 4%
28 ZAROFF Roxanne - 1% 9% 34% 42% 16%
29 FOELLMER Lena 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
30 DE LA CRUZ Alyssa 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
31 LOCKE Savannah 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
32 YU Seneca 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1%
33 YAMAGUCHI Kate M. - - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10%
34 YHIP Mikaela M. 1% 14% 39% 34% 10% 1%
35 KIM Kayla A. - 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
36 FRANCO Isabella P. - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 2%
37 THOMAS Aaria S. 4% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
38 KHOO Lauren A. 1% 13% 42% 33% 10% 1%
39 TRAN Ava D. - 7% 28% 41% 21% 2%
40 PARK Rowan M. - 3% 22% 47% 26% 3%
41 ALTEN Ayaka 7% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
42 WANG Christine - 2% 15% 41% 36% 5%
43 VERKHOVODOVA Polina 4% 24% 40% 25% 6% -
44 TAN Clarisse 1% 21% 47% 26% 5% -
45 CALLAGHAN Caitlyn M. 3% 22% 41% 28% 6% -
46 MING YUE 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
47 DE LA CRUZ Eden 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
48 OBEDIN Lara 2% 36% 41% 17% 3% -
49 DE LA CRUZ Ava 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
50 KUEN Erica 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
51 YANG Blanche 5% 34% 40% 18% 3% -
52 WU Kyra 2% 11% 29% 34% 20% 4%
53 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 1% 15% 38% 34% 11% 1%
54 SHUM Elizabeth 81% 18% 1% - - -
55 OH Erin H. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
56 KIM Hyunchae Y. 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
57 KIM Alyssa 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
58 LAI Annika 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
58 WANG Yiran (Cindy) 70% 26% 3% - - -
60 PRIETO Sofia M. 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
61 SANDVIK Clarissa A. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
62 KUMAR Anmol 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
62 HSIUNG Samantha 12% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
64 CRAIG Chris 34% 41% 19% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.