Wang Memorial ROC & RYC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 3:00 PM

Arlington, TX - Arlington, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STONE Henry J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
2 MUGA Boris 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
3 GODDARD Hal D. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
3 CASTLEMAN Levi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
5 FUCHS Marshall J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 57%
6 JOHNSON Ben 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 45%
7 KORTZ Austin 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
8 BARGE Jackson 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
9 HANKINS Trace 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
10 ODEN Isaac M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
11 PHILLIPS Wesley Y. 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 3%
12 GRAY Connor W. 100% 81% 37% 7% 1% -
13 COMER Alexander J. 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
14 WERCHAN Andrew R. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
15 VENKAT Rakesh 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 7%
16 DOUGLAS Benjamin 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
17 PLESHEK Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
18 JAMES Lonnie M. 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
19 FRANZNICK Charles (Charlie) W. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
20 CLOWERS Matthew 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
21 PEZZULLI Anthony 100% 100% 98% 86% 45% 9%
22 HESSE Frederick Q. 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1% -
23 PANAYOTOV Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 57% 11%
24 KISTNER J. Kyle 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
25 HESS Marc F. 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
26 WEST Kyle W. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
27 STARR Michael 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
28 MCNALLY Christopher 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
29 ROBERTS Christian 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
30 DAVIS Scott 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
31 CHANG Luo Jixiu 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
32 DALELA Krish 100% 82% 37% 6% - -
33 MASK Austin 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% -
34 SONG Branden 100% 80% 34% 6% - -
35 SANDHU Waris 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
36 SALEH Omar 100% 77% 29% 5% - -
37 OLDHAM Zachary 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
38 UNDERWOOD John D. 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
39 RUNGE Patrick A. 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
40 ERTEL Mark C. 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
41 SCHUSTER Jac 100% 62% 19% 3% - -
42 FLEMING Alistair T. 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
43 MYERS Tim 100% 89% 55% 18% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.