The Battle in Seattle ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, January 26, 2020 at 9:00 AM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
2 WONG Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 KUZMAK Michael J. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1% -
3 CATLIN Adam 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
5 MITBERG Gregory W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
6 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
7 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 1%
8 GUTIERREZ Nikolai A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 34%
9 FORTNER Lance R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 CHUNG Kwangsuk 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
11 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16% -
12 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
13 MURRY Quinn 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
14 FULTON Richard A. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
15 SINGS Lucas A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
16 STACKHOUSE Andre L. 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 1%
17 SHAJI Karthik 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% -
18 RINGLE Stephen E. 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
19 SCHUR Skyler 100% 99% 84% 40% 9% 1% -
20 PAMPENA Rocco S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
21 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 9%
22 CASTILLO Jonas 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
22 BIROAN Chaz 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
24 LIM Charles Q. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
25 BLAIR Riley P. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6% -
26 BERK Theodore 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
27 SKYWARK Andrew 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
28 TAM Lansing (Lance) P. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
29 WONG Alexander 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
30 KLEIN Johannes 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
31 FISCHER Sebastian 100% 81% 27% 4% - - -
32 CLAUSEN Matthew J. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
33 CRACRAFT John R. 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
34 NAMNIASOV Sergei 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% - -
35 BEAVER Aaron 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
36 LISONDRA Niko 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
37 SHOWALTER Cameron J. 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% - -
38 RAMOS Angelo Rei 100% 69% 23% 3% - - -
39 LUTTON Thomas (Tom) W. 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
39 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
41 ALLAN Peter L. 100% 67% 17% 2% - - -
42 GRIDLEY Dustin 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.