Tiger Open 2020

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 29, 2020 at 12:30 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Clemson, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MIDDEKE Devin 100% 100% 98% 77% 24%
2 DULISSE ALeX 100% 99% 90% 54% 14%
3 DREITZLER Nicholas 100% 92% 63% 26% 4%
3 LIM Joshua 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
5 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 96% 71% 25%
6 JARVIS Trent 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
7 MERMIGKAS John 100% 99% 86% 40% 7%
9 SCHWARTZ Aaron 100% 88% 51% 14% 1%
10 TILAKA Michael 100% 99% 83% 42% 9%
11 MISKELL William 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
12 KETCHEL Ethan 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 PRIOLEAU Isabel 100% 98% 81% 44% 11%
13 GIRENKOV Andrei 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
15 PAK Matthew 100% 100% 92% 63% 20%
16 WEBSTER Davis G. 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
17 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
17 WON Seungwook 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
19 SHELANDER Connor 100% 100% 96% 72% 20%
20 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
21 PROCTER Jonathan R. 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
22 CHRONISTER Charles 100% 97% 70% 14% -
23 DELPH Spencer 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
24 RONCONE Dominic 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
25 LENAHAN Conor J. 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
26 NAPIER Maxwell P. 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
27 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 96% 71% 29% 3%
28 JAMES Josephine 100% 87% 47% 13% 1%
28 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 82% 36% 7% -
30 DOESBURG Paikea 100% 98% 80% 40% 7%
31 LILLISTON Ian 100% 93% 59% 13% 1%
32 BAKER Nicholas 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
33 KUCIA Michael J. 100% 99% 88% 49% 7%
34 OTERO Dante 100% 90% 55% 16% 1%
35 CAI Catelynn 100% 80% 34% 6% -
35 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
37 SMITH Naja 100% 93% 62% 22% 3%
38 MESSMANN Brandon 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
39 COOPER Judson 100% 96% 67% 23% 3%
40 SCHREIBER Tony 100% 98% 78% 38% 8%
41 ROACH Hal 100% 96% 68% 16% 1%
42 COTTEN Justin 100% 98% 82% 36% 2%
43 EVANS Grant 100% 82% 43% 11% 1%
44 CHANG Shane 100% 81% 39% 9% 1%
45 DAVIS Darrin 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
46 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
47 ALMUHAWAS Abdulmohsen 100% 34% 5% - -
48 RYU Seri 100% 59% 18% 3% -
48 ENDICOTT Mollie 100% 72% 26% 4% -
50 SHIM Yeonjae 100% 80% 33% 6% -
51 WILLIAMS Glenn 100% 83% 39% 8% 1%
52 HERRIMAN Grant 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
53 DAILEY John 100% 97% 79% 42% 10%
54 WOODY Sophia 100% 78% 31% 5% -
55 RICKMAN II Samuel B. 100% 90% 50% 12% 1%
55 RAFF Kaleb 100% 62% 18% 2% -
57 BARBOUR Rian 100% 94% 63% 23% 3%
57 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 67% 23% 3% -
59 GRANKE Clarissa 100% 87% 52% 17% 2%
60 HAMMOND Karena L. 100% 96% 67% 24% 3%
60 PITTMAN William-Stewart 100% 95% 46% 8% -
62 MEEHAN Tara 100% 84% 38% 7% -
62 ENDICOTT Madelyn 100% 93% 60% 20% 3%
62 WILLIAMS A'Vian 100% 96% 69% 28% 4%
65 DELVENTHAL Sarah 100% 95% 61% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.