Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MONTGOMERY Jadon T. | V V V D | V V V V | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 2 | MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. | V V V V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | KOKKIN Jack S. | V V D D | V V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 3 | HANEY Vincent | V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 5 | FERRIS George H. | V V V V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | SCHARDINE Ryan | V D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 7 | RIGHTLER Samuel | D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 8 | LU Evan | V D D V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 9 | HUSTON Landry | V D D V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 10 | KILBOURNE Lance | D V V D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 11 | OJE Chuku | D D V D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 12 | GRAF Andrew J. | D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 13 | HU-VAN REETH Alexander | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 14 | UTLEY James | D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 15 | ACKER Alan | D D D D | D | 0.0 | 0 | - |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |