Fairfax Challenge SYC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Friday, April 28, 2017 at 2:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort & Convention Center - Miami, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JI Cody 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
2 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
3 LIU Christopher X. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
5 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 95% 65% 20%
6 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
7 FENG Leo 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
8 CARTAGENA Caden A. 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
9 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 92% 65% 28% 5%
10 YE Henry K. 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% -
11 LEE Justin 100% 99% 89% 57% 15% 1%
12 MORRILL William 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 7%
13 KOGAN Nikita 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
14 WOODWARD Connor 100% 99% 89% 56% 16% 1%
15 CUNNINGHAM-SNELSON Aahil 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
16 KRZYZANOWSKI Adam 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
17 SHOMAN Noah 100% 96% 71% 27% 4% -
18 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
19 SIMMONS John M. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% -
20 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
21 GAUVEY Kieran 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
22 LEE Derek J. 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1%
23 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
24 HONG Steven 100% 50% 9% - - -
25 WU Richard 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
26 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 96% 70% 28% 5% -
27 CHEN Jia Tao 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% -
28 GREENBAUM Max B. 100% 93% 62% 22% 3% -
29 VILES Astor C. 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
30 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.