Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SEMIKIN Julia | V V V V V V | V V V V | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 2 | BELSLEY Devon K. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | KIM Erika S. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 3 | SHEN Stephanie | D V V V V | V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | PROVANCE Amanda R. | V V V D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 6 | RUMMEL Katherine E. | V V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 7 | WANG anne | V D V V D D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 8 | COVITZ Ashley A. | D V D V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 9 | O'REILLY Aeryn E. | D V V D V V | D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 10 | VANDERLINDEN Mira | D V V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 11 | HONG Elaine | V D D V D | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 12 | SCHAFF Marlene M. | V V D D D | D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 13 | BOHRER Shira | D D V D V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 14 | JANNEY Erynn Renn | V D D D V | V D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 15 | BOTNER Olivia | V D D V D D | V D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 16 | BANKS Lauren M. | D D D D D | V D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 17 | RICE Georgia | D D V D V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 18 | SEREYKA-WILSON Rachel | D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| 19 | GORMAN Simone | D D D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |