Arnold Fencing Classic 2020

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, March 6, 2020 at 11:30 AM

400 N High Street, OH - 400 N High Street, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANEY Vincent 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
2 MONTGOMERY Jadon T. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
3 STREB JR. Joseph T. 100% 99% 86% 54% 19% 3%
3 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 1%
5 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
6 YAN Jack P. 100% 99% 93% 66% 24% 3%
7 MIRONOVAS Mikhail (Misha) 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
8 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
9 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
10 KILBOURNE Lance 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% -
11 BRAEMER Landon 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 5%
12 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
13 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -
14 WELCH David T. 100% 98% 80% 38% 8% -
15 CHENNURU Nischal 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
16 LU Evan 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
17 OJE Chuku 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% -
18 GRAF Andrew J. 100% 70% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.