Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CASHMAN Natalie | V V V V V V V V | V V V | 6.6 | 8 | +1.4 |
| 2 | SMITH Brianna A. | V V V D V D V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 3 | D'ORAZIO Sofia V. | V D D V D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 3 | ARNIPALLI Hamsika | D V D V V D D V | V D | 5.2 | 4 | -1.2 |
| 5 | CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. | V D V D V V D D | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 6 | DREYER Nadia S. | D V D D D V V V | D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | LEZHAVA Leah | D V V D D V D D | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | GLUCK Myriam | D D V V D V D D | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 9 | TURZILLO Mary A. | D D D D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |