Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TRELOAR Allison F. | V V V D V | V V V | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 2 | LEE Claire L. | D D V D | V V V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 3 | DREYER Nadia S. | V D V V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 3 | MCGRATH Polina S. | V V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 5 | WHITT Lynnette A. | V V V V | D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 6 | SELL Donna L. | D V D V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 7 | CHAYKINA Natalie V. | V D V V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 8 | ROMANO Megan C. | V V D D | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 9 | SCHIAVONE Nancy | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 10 | TURZILLO Mary A. | D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 11 | O'BRIEN Michelle L. | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |