Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MCFADDEN Christa M. | V V V V D V | V V V V V | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 2 | PROVANCE Amanda R. | V V V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 5 | +2.1 |
| 3 | RUMMEL Katherine E. | D V V D D | V V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BELSLEY Devon K. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 5 | DUNSEATH Lauren M. | V D V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 6 | SCHMIDT Lori M. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 7 | WAGNER Lyndsay K. | V V V V D | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 8 | PEDERSEN Kari | V D V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 9 | WU Fan | V V D V V V | V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 10 | CAMPBELL Anahit M. | D V V D V V | V D | 4.4 | 4 | -0.4 |
| 11 | SCHAFF Marlene M. | V D D V V V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 12 | LEWIS Sophia | V D D V V | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 13 | KIM Elizabeth Y. | D V D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 14 | KIM Erika S. | V D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 15 | WANG anne | D D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 16 | HONG Elaine | D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | SEMIKIN Julia | V V V D V | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 18 | SHEN Stephanie | D V V D V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 19 | BROWN Amanda | V D V V D | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 19 | BOTNER Olivia | V V D D V | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 21 | LAWSON Marie A. | V D D D V | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 22 | JANNEY Erynn Renn | D V D D V | D | 0.6 | 2 | +1.4 |
| 23 | ROWLAND May | D D V V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 24 | BANKS Lauren M. | D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 25 | BOWIE Charlotta | D D V D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 26 | SAVINI Lorenza | D V D D D | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 26 | COURTNEY Elya Rebekah | D D D V D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 28 | SAVINI Patricia | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 29 | PROKOP Jeannine A. | D D D D D | D | 2.5 | 0 | -2.5 |
| 29 | RICE Georgia | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| 31 | RIOS Donna B. | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |