Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZHAO Nathan | V V V V V V | V V V | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 2 | ZHENG Marcus | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 3 | DOELL Ethan | D V D D V V | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 3 | CULLIVAN Sienna | V D V D V | V V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 5 | PERLIN Micah | V V V V V | D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 6 | ALANAZI Saif | V V D V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 7 | MCGRATH Milo | D V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 8 | DEBORD Beckett | V D V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 9 | MARTIN Wesley | D V D V D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 10 | BERNDT Camryn | D D D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 11 | CASHMAN Hailey | D D V D D | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 12 | TUCKER-HILL Linnea | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 13 | KUANG Vincent | D D D D D D | D | 2.3 | 0 | -2.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |