Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. | V V V V V | V V V | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 2 | RIGHTLER Samuel | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 3 | BARKER John (Jack) | V V D V D | V V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 3 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D V V V V | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 5 | CANNON Logan T. | V D D V V | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 6 | SHEN Christopher | D V D V D | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 7 | NIELANDER Elliot S. | D V V D D | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 8 | DENISON Joseph | D D D D V | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 9 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | D D D V V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 10 | HU-VAN REETH Alexander | D V V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 11 | AN David | V D D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 12 | CONN Jackson | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |