Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RIGHTLER Samuel | V V V V | V V V | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | DENISON Joseph | V V D V | V V V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 3 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 3 | NIELANDER Elliot S. | V V D V | V V D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 5 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 6 | CANNON Logan T. | V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | YI Carey | D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 8 | MCCLUNG Gavin | D D V V | V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 9 | GERSTMANN Max T. | D D V V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 10 | HU-VAN REETH Alexander | D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 11 | HERNANDEZ VEGA Mya | V D D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 12 | PASTOR Connor | V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 13 | AN David | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 14 | BULLARD Nicholas Y. | D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 15 | MERKLE Evan | D D D D | D | 0.5 | 0 | -0.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |