Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic 2020Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | MONTGOMERY Jadon T. | D V V V D | V V V V | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 2 | YAN Jack P. | V V V D V | V V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | GEFELL Andrew P. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | KOKKIN Jack S. | D V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 5 | MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. | V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 5 | +1.3 |
| 6 | HANEY Vincent | V V V V V V | V D | 3.7 | 6 | +2.3 |
| 7 | SMITH Mitchell M. | V V V V D V | V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 8 | LEVITT Benjamin | V V D V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 9 | BROWNE JR Rolston D. | V V V D V D | D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 10 | LU Evan | D D V D V V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 11 | SCHARDINE Ryan | D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 12 | RIGHTLER Samuel | D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 13 | BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. | V D D D V D | D | 4.2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| 14 | NIELANDER Elliot S. | V D D D D | V D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 15 | CHERNAEV Aleksandar | D D D V D D | V D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 16 | KILBOURNE Lance | D D D D D | V D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 17 | COLEMAN Joseph | V D D D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 18 | SCHARDINE James | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 19 | CONN Jackson | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |