THRUST WINTER RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, February 9, 2020 at 12:00 PM

Suffern, NY - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
2 DENG Andrew - 1% 9% 30% 41% 20%
3 SHOMAN Zachary - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 WONG Ryan - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
5 HUANG Ethan F. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
6 SHTEYN Mark - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
7 KASPER Aaron 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
8 MARGULIES William - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
9 FLOT Tai A. - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15%
10 SPOSATO Andrew P. - 1% 6% 19% 33% 30% 11%
11 SHOMAN Noah - 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
12 HO Kaden M. - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
13 OH Triton - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
14 SANDERS Samuel B. - 2% 12% 27% 34% 20% 4%
15 MOULTON Ian 5% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
16 ZHENG Edward L. - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
17 WEBER Mattias A. - 1% 7% 29% 42% 19% 3%
18 WANG Charles - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
19 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
20 HUANG Alexander C. - 1% 7% 29% 43% 20%
21 WAXLER Seth B. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
22 BERMAN Luca - - - 2% 15% 45% 39%
23 NG Jeremiah - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
24 WANG Robert - - - 5% 26% 47% 22%
25 KUSHKOV Daniel - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
26 BREKHMAN Eric 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
27 MEDVEDEV Michail D. 1% 8% 31% 38% 19% 3%
28 GILSON Lucas B. - 4% 22% 41% 27% 6%
29 HAN Daniel Y. 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
30 GOLDMAN Noah R. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
31 SAVOY Luca - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
32 CHAN Austin 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
33 CLYMER Lucas Y. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
34 ZHANG Yankun 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
35 LIU Mingyang Ryan 1% 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
36 GIZERSKY Jared - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
37 LUTHRA Arjun - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
38 DOLAN Charles R. - 3% 22% 42% 28% 5%
39 HUANG Tom - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
40 LEONARD Charles 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
41 SHTEIN Yan - 3% 23% 42% 27% 5%
42 CHTERENTAL Alex - 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
43 ZHU Shao 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
44 PENG Bryan - 3% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
45 RODE Leon J. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
46 ALTIRS Giorgio - 4% 24% 42% 24% 5% -
47 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 12% 33% 36% 15% 2%
48 CHO Winston 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
49 SANDHU Arjan 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
50 WU Hunter 7% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
51 KESSLER Josh 6% 35% 39% 16% 3% -
52 WU Wilmund - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
53 CAMPO Alexander P. 10% 60% 26% 4% - -
54 CHUANG Tristan - 3% 23% 42% 27% 5%
55 LAU Justin Y. 1% 14% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
56 PERRON Robert 1% 11% 38% 36% 12% 1% -
56 YURT Vehbi 25% 55% 18% 2% - - -
58 KOGAN Nikita - 4% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
59 TANG Charles 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
60 DEPEW Spencer 22% 39% 28% 9% 2% -
61 SEN David 60% 33% 6% 1% - -
62 HUROWITZ Max 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
63 SUGIURA Samuel 9% 28% 33% 21% 7% 1% -
64 GOLD Carter 76% 22% 2% - - -
65 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
66 KNUDSEN Matthew S. 27% 44% 23% 5% 1% - -
66 TIAGI Daniel 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
68 FREDRICK Jameer 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
69 PILAT Matthew J. 20% 46% 27% 6% 1% -
70 TIAGI George 42% 44% 12% 1% - -
71 DAI William 50% 38% 11% 1% - - -
72 STOLPER Max 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
73 EYBELMAN Ariel 3% 17% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
74 CHO Blake 3% 24% 43% 24% 5% -
75 POSY Daniel 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
76 NAYAK Surin K. 4% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
77 CHENG Hong 66% 29% 5% - - - -
78 KESSLER Nathan 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 3% -
79 MUNGOVAN Matthew 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
80 DONALDSON Christopher 46% 42% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.