The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 19, 2020 at 11:00 AM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YIN Julia - - - 1% 8% 43% 49%
2 QIU Emily - 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 5%
3 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana - 1% 8% 28% 37% 22% 5%
3 SU Evelyn - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
5 LEE Scarlett - - - 6% 35% 58%
6 WATTANAKIT Anda - - 3% 16% 42% 39%
7 TOLSMA Chloe - - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
8 LEE Camilla 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
9 LEE Claire 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
10 KUMAR Eva - 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
11 LUO Amy - 4% 18% 34% 32% 11%
12 ILYAS Ayah 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
13 CAFASSO Natalya - 2% 12% 36% 41% 10%
14 MISHIMA Audrey 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1%
15 GUAN Isabella 1% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
16 SMUK Alexandra S. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 NIX Reagan 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
18 WONG Caitlin - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
19 PRESMAN Aerin 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
20 MONTALVAN VANESA - 1% 11% 33% 39% 16%
21 PILSON Rebecca 6% 24% 37% 26% 7% -
22 KROPP Anne 2% 15% 39% 34% 10% 1%
23 SUICO Kyubi Emmanuelle 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1%
24 JEYOON Lauren 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
25 NGUYEN Ella 34% 50% 15% 2% - - -
26 CUEVA Viola - 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
27 BERIASHVILI Catherine 9% 43% 36% 11% 1% -
27 WRIGHT Madison 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
29 LEE Gloria 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
30 SHAYAKHMETOVA Suzanna 40% 47% 12% 1% - - -
31 BOREN Ava 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
32 WOOLF Fredrika 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.