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Y-12 Women's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SHA Yi Ling	-	-	-	1%	11%	38%	50%
2	MI Aileen	-	-	3%	17%	42%	37%
3	LEVY Avery	-	6%	26%	41%	23%	3%
3	GOOR Viviene E.	-	-	-	-	6%	32%	62%
5	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	2%	17%	47%	34%
6	NISSINOFF Alexandra	-	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	20%
7	CHOW Annabelle	-	-	4%	22%	46%	28%
8	TRACZ Calleigh D.	-	1%	10%	28%	36%	20%	4%
9	SOLDATOVA Maria	-	-	1%	6%	24%	44%	26%
10	CASCONE Emily	-	-	-	5%	23%	45%	26%
11	CALISE Ella	-	2%	11%	30%	37%	18%	2%
12	SHIM Grace	-	5%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
13	PEVZNER Nicole	2%	15%	33%	32%	14%	3%	-
14	CHEN Renee	-	1%	8%	26%	39%	23%	3%
15	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	19%	39%	30%	11%	2%	-
16	SHMAY Anastasia	-	1%	5%	21%	37%	29%	8%
17	YANG Iris	-	-	4%	23%	46%	27%
18	ZHOU Catherine	-	5%	23%	38%	26%	7%	1%
19	PAULUS Isabella	-	3%	23%	44%	25%	5%
20	WANG Jolie Z.	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
21	CHAGARES Isabella	22%	44%	27%	6%	-	-
22	KAPRAN Anastasia	-	2%	11%	28%	36%	20%	3%
23	NULAND Zoe	-	3%	14%	31%	34%	16%	2%
24	MCSHERRY Emma	1%	7%	24%	36%	25%	7%	-
25	YURKOVA Mariia	-	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
26	LIAW Elaine	-	4%	21%	42%	29%	4%
27	PARK Alexandria	5%	24%	37%	25%	8%	1%
28	WEI Angela	2%	18%	42%	30%	8%	1%
29	TANG Sophia	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
30	WANG Reese	9%	31%	38%	18%	4%	-	-
31	DEVLIN Xeta	-	5%	20%	36%	29%	9%	1%
32	WANG Sunny	3%	25%	41%	24%	6%	1%	-
33	BADLANI Diya	6%	26%	38%	23%	6%	1%	-
34	BERGEL Daphne	9%	34%	37%	16%	3%	-	-
35	WALOR Riley H.	23%	41%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
36	CHOW Tessa	-	4%	18%	37%	32%	8%
37	FORNES Jolie A.	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
38	SHKLYAR Antonina	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	2%
39	SCHULTZ Norah	58%	36%	6%	-	-	-
40	STACK Katie	12%	33%	34%	16%	4%	-	-
41	SNYDERS Evelyn	71%	26%	3%	-	-	-	-
42	YU Jane	19%	43%	30%	7%	1%	-
43	BECKER Luz	15%	51%	29%	5%	-	-
44	BAIK Madeline	1%	13%	33%	34%	15%	3%	-
45	KEM Madeleine	33%	44%	19%	3%	-	-	-
46	CHENG Audrey	20%	40%	29%	9%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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