11th Annual Yellow Jacket Open

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 7, 2020 at 1:30 PM

Georgia Tech Campus Recreation Center - Atlanta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HAN David 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
2 JAAFAR Omar 100% 99% 85% 42%
3 YI Daniel 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 11% 1%
3 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
5 WEBSTER Davis 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
6 LENAHAN Conor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
7 NG Joshua 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
8 FORD Tillman 100% 100% 97% 84% 57% 24% 5%
9 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
10 MAIER Elijah 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
10 KIM Ray 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
12 BOBERTZ Hogan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
13 CORLEY Avery 100% 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
14 MERMIGKAS John 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 6%
15 WANG Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 89% 56% 19% 2%
16 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 88% 38% 8% 1% - -
17 TREBON Hayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
18 CHRONISTER Charles 100% 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
19 PROCTER Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
21 DULISSE ALeX 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
23 TILAKA Michael 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 15%
24 BASKIN Miles 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
25 SONG Ervin 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
26 PAVLINEC Jack 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
27 RYU Daniel 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
28 CHANG Shane 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
28 EVANS Grant 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
30 SMITH Naja 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 10% 1%
30 GARTNER Kara 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
33 MISKELL William 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6%
34 ALLISON zachary 100% 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2%
35 HARRIS Calvin 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
36 SPERRY Gregory 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
37 PRICE Makalyn 100% 58% 16% 2%
38 PAK Matthew 100% 100% 100% 91% 58% 20% 3%
39 ARUN Vikhyat 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
40 FOSTER Nick 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
41 WESTRAAD MacKinnon 100% 92% 52% 11%
42 SCHARF Ryan 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 1%
43 TO Hang Minh 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
44 TRACY Samarra 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
46 HIRSCH Jordan V. 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
47 PRICE Wade 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
48 SHIM Yeonjae(emma) 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
49 SONG John 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
50 RYU Seri 100% 90% 47% 7%
51 RICKMAN II Samuel B. 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
52 THOMPSON Suzanne 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
53 MCARTHUR William 100% 95% 52% 14% 2% - -
54 SCHOEN Michelle 100% 63% 20% 4% - - -
55 SONG Austin 100% 91% 61% 23% 4% - -
57 MANEKAR Pooja 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
57 ALMUHAWAS Abdulmohsen 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
59 RAULS Jackson 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
60 MODULLA Yathin 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% -
61 GARTNER Kacie 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
61 BALDWIN Marissa 100% 89% 49% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.