RJCC - Portland March

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, March 8, 2020 at 12:30 PM

BEAVERTON, OR - BEAVERTON, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
3 YUN Jake 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
3 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
5 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
6 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
7 SHASHA Zane 100% 100% 94% 64% 15%
8 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 87% 42% 9% 1%
9 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
10 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
11 WESLER Logan A. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 LUO George F. 100% 100% 93% 58% 18% 2%
13 BULL Anderson 100% 98% 78% 30% 4%
14 XU Andrew 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
15 ZHANG Michael (Jiayuan) 100% 83% 33% 5% -
16 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
17 JAKSTAS Kalnius 100% 52% 12% 1% -
18 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
19 MILLER Ethan 100% 87% 32% 5% - -
20 YUMINAGA Haruaki 100% 45% 7% - -
21 HARVEY Ellis 100% 28% 2% - - -
21 CHEN SHENGWEN 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.