Event Results
11th Annual Winter Warlock RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. | V V V V | V V V | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 2 | WANG Nicolas | V V V | V V D | 0.8 | 3 | +2.2 |
| 3 | CANNON Logan | D V D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 3 | RIGHTLER Samuel | V D V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 5 | SHEN Christopher | V V V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 6 | YU Thomas | D V D V | D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 7 | CONN Jackson | D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 8 | MCANINCH Connor | D D D D | V D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| 9 | MERKLE Evan | D D D | D | 1.4 | 0 | -1.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |