D'Artagnan's Challenge Series 3B (Y14 Epee)

Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 15, 2020 at 1:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MACARTY Jordan 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
2 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 14%
3 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 95% 68% 22%
3 IVKOV Dima 100% 99% 85% 44% 9%
5 SONG Troy 100% 93% 62% 21% 3% -
6 JIANG Bryan 100% 96% 67% 24% 3%
7 IVKOV Sasha 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
8 LAIBSON Max 100% 99% 87% 52% 14%
9 RAUH Max 100% 31% 4% - -
10 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 83% 42% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.