KSA and Phoenix Sabre and Epee Tournament

Div III Women's Saber

Sunday, January 12, 2020 at 2:30 PM

The Phoenix Center - Poughkeepsie, NY, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HORMEL Molly 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
2 MCCARTHY Natalie 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3%
3 SWIFT Olana 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
3 LESNIK Alexandra 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1%
5 SHAW Guinevere L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
6 LESNIK Magdahlia 100% 98% 74% 34% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.