Mission RJCC #1 | Epee & Men's Sabre ONLY - Reg Opens 9/15

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 25, 2020 at 12:15 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	DROVETSKY Alexandra M.	-	-	1%	5%	23%	43%	29%
2	KUZNETSOV Victoria	-	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	22%
3	ZHANG Tina Tianyi	-	3%	17%	37%	32%	10%
3	GAJJALA Sharika R.	-	2%	9%	24%	35%	24%	6%
5	KHROL Jaclyn	-	-	-	-	4%	30%	66%
6	KOWALSKY Rachel A.	-	-	2%	13%	32%	37%	15%
7	CHIN Isabella	-	-	2%	12%	40%	46%
8	MAO Amy	-	2%	12%	30%	34%	17%	3%
9	WADE-CURRIE Ava S.	-	1%	8%	29%	41%	21%
10	TEMIRYAEV Anna M.	-	1%	6%	25%	39%	25%	5%
11	HAFEEZ Hiba	1%	7%	24%	36%	24%	7%	1%
12	GU Sarah	-	-	4%	15%	32%	34%	14%
13	LU Junyao	-	3%	16%	36%	34%	11%
14	COBERT Helen G.	-	3%	16%	38%	34%	8%
15	GAO Judy	4%	22%	39%	27%	7%	1%
16	VINE Melissa	3%	19%	37%	29%	10%	1%
17	LONG Cindy	-	-	2%	15%	39%	37%	6%
18	ZIGALO Elizabeth	-	2%	11%	27%	34%	21%	5%
19	NGUYEN Kira	1%	9%	30%	38%	19%	3%
20	LUO Ashley	-	-	5%	20%	38%	29%	8%
21	LEE Olive	-	1%	7%	26%	42%	22%	3%
22	YU Nicole J.	-	2%	12%	31%	35%	17%	3%
23	APPLEBEE Andralyn	31%	43%	21%	4%	-	-
24	SMOTRITSKY Mia	15%	40%	33%	11%	2%	-
25	SANTANA Mia	14%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-	-
26	LIN Elaine	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
27	SHU Youshan	24%	43%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
28	WONG Alexandra R.	12%	35%	35%	15%	3%	-	-
29	BECCHINA Olivia	1%	8%	24%	34%	24%	8%	1%
30	FAZZINI Angelina	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	3%	-
31	HICKS Grace	25%	40%	26%	8%	1%	-	-
32	CHANG Ella	12%	37%	35%	14%	2%	-
33	ZAKHAROV Anne (Anya) E.	2%	15%	34%	32%	14%	3%	-
34	HAFEEZ Hania	4%	18%	33%	29%	13%	3%	-
35	HOSANAGAR Inchara	11%	40%	36%	12%	2%	-	-
36	FURMAN Maria	2%	13%	34%	36%	14%	2%	-
37	ZENG Katrina	34%	43%	19%	4%	-	-
38	LI Alisha	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%	1%	-
39	ABRAMSON Mariela R.	15%	38%	32%	12%	2%	-	-
40	SHEIN Evita	21%	47%	26%	5%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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