Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 16, 2020 at 8:00 AM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
2 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
3 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
5 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
6 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
7 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
8 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
9 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
10 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
11 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
12 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
13 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
14 DANNULL Lukas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
15 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
17 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
17 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
19 FRISHMAN Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
19 MA Jonathan D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
21 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
22 TONG Qilin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11%
22 MULVANEY Alec S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
24 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
25 LIN John A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
26 MOSZCZYNSKI Adam 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
27 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
28 KUPANOFF Dimitri N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
29 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
30 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
31 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
32 GREEN IV James (Bud) 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
33 JOHNSON Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
34 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
35 OSOLINIEC Victor E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
36 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 10%
37 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
38 DROZ Camden J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
39 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
40 HU William 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
41 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
42 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
43 OSTER Keegan J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
44 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
45 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
46 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
47 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
48 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
49 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
50 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
51 PEDERSEN Leif 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12% 1%
52 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
53 KIM Minwook 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
54 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 18% 2%
55 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 2%
56 ZHANG Michael M. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 4%
57 SINGER Carson 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
58 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
59 SHASHA Zane 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
60 CAPPELLUTI Ryan M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
61 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
62 WU Nicholas R. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
63 LEFEVRE Colin B. 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
64 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
65 CHO Justin W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
66 SHIN Richard J.H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
67 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
67 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
69 REESE Aaron S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
70 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
71 YANG Kevin S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
72 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
73 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
74 KIM Sean G. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
75 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
76 BUKOWSKI Bronson 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 5%
77 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 1%
78 GANTA Vijay 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
79 HARRIS Alex K. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
80 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
81 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
82 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
83 CHANG Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
84 BLINKOV Andrey 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
85 WUN William 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
86 KOKKIN Jack S. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
87 CHAN Daniel 100% 99% 91% 65% 32% 9% 1%
88 ZHOU Justin 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
89 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 89% 52% 15% 1%
89 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
89 TRINH Trevor Z. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
92 CAI Lawrence (Larry) 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
93 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
94 SHEPANEK Noah M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
95 BAILEY Asher 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
96 MORRILL William 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
97 NG Jonathan H. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
98 BREIER Satchel E. 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4%
99 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
100 KANARY Logan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
101 CHO Brandon 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
102 LIU David J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 4%
103 NOBLE Daniel 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
104 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
105 MOSKOWITZ Mason C. 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
106 IWAMOTO Eric Y. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
107 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
108 RAMAN Easwer 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
109 MILLER Levi H. 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 3%
110 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
111 MORRILL Justin 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
112 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 99% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
113 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
114 OWENS William 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
115 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
115 MORREALE John 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
117 LEE Kyle 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
117 LIU kelly 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
119 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
120 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
121 VASILYEV Nikita K. 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
122 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
123 XU William 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
123 MENON Rishi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
125 GINIS Nathan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
126 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
127 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
128 HANEY Vincent 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
129 LAUDON Konrad 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
130 LEUNG Mark 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
131 YAO Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
132 YAN Jack P. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 2%
133 GILES Jeremy M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
134 ZHOU Kevin 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% 1%
134 NEUHEARDT Peter 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% -
136 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
137 SMITH Mitchell M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
138 DANNULL Linus N. 100% 100% 100% 92% 63% 24% 4%
138 DESAI Drewv D. 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
140 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 96% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
141 POPE Nico 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
142 SMITH David C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
143 TAO Stone Z. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
144 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
144 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
146 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
147 PRICE Jack S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
148 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
149 MENSAH Kennedy C 100% 100% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
150 KEEFE Duncan 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 2% -
151 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
152 TANN Justin 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
153 LASORSA Matthew 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
154 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 99% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
155 CHEN Oscar 100% 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
156 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
157 ASHBY Ethan J. 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
157 WIND Nicky E. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
159 TANG Alex Y. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
160 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
161 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 29% 6%
162 LUO ZIRUI 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
163 LEONARD Cole 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
164 MAGUIRE Matthew V. 100% 99% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
165 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1%
166 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
166 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
168 MENON Rohan C. 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
168 KOUNALAKIS Antoneo T. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
170 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13% 1%
170 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
172 TSODIKOV Matthew G. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
173 HAMMER Peter A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
174 YEN Preston 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
175 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% -
176 FLORES Peter D. 100% 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
177 RAI Avin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
178 KIM Benjamin H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
179 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
180 HARGENRADER Kailen A. 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
181 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
182 MATSUI Alen K. 100% 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
182 HUANG Jonathan S. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
184 VAULES Charles W. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 5% -
185 GILLIGAN Wolff 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
186 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
187 QUAN Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
188 SMITLEY Tyler J. 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
189 REYES Xavier M. 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
190 MURZYN III CJ 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
191 GHOSH Tuhin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
192 WINKLER Lucas G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 11%
193 LUEBBE Macklan C 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
194 MARSEE James 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
195 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 99% 79% 40% 11% 2% -
196 HOFFMAN Skyler E. 100% 94% 58% 19% 3% - -
197 KILBOURNE Lance 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
198 XU Luke 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1% -
200 BUEKER Samuel P. 100% 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
200 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
202 LE Hayden 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
203 DEMAREST Iain 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
203 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
205 RAJA Arnav 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
205 LAI Daniel 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
207 PETRAMALE Samuel J. 100% 99% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
207 SCHARDINE Ryan 100% 94% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
209 HOLMES Aiden G. 100% 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
210 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
210 PARKHURST Jr Michael 100% 99% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
212 STEINMETZ John 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 3% -
213 WESLER Logan A. 100% 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
214 YUAN Kevin 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
214 HUANG Eric 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1%
216 LEE Jude H. 100% 85% 48% 15% 3% - -
217 HOEY-WASOW Henry 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% - -
218 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 61% 19% 3% -
218 BARBER Brendan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
220 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
221 HWANG Ryan C. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
222 HAWKINS Jasper R. 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
223 GAFFNEY John M. 100% 97% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
224 FENG Leo 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
224 LUKIBANOV Nicholas O. 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
224 LIN William 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
227 KIBBAR Tomer L. 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
228 RAJAN Advait 100% 32% 4% - - - -
228 VILLARREAL Mateo 100% 98% 46% 10% 1% - -
230 KEEFE Christopher C. 100% 99% 93% 75% 43% 15% 2%
231 PAN Andrew W. 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
232 BANNERMAN Andrew J. 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
233 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
234 RESHEIDAT Malik 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
235 KIM Matthew 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
236 EPSTEIN Henry N. 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
237 GARCIA Ryan 100% 87% 45% 12% 2% - -
238 LIU Jonathan M. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
238 ZHOU Miles 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
240 BULL Anderson 100% 85% 47% 15% 3% - -
240 BAUER Hank E. 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% - -
242 MYERS Kaleb S. 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
243 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
244 CHENG Albert 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
245 CHANIN Liam R. 100% 32% 4% - - - -
246 CORREAL-WINTERS Naige 100% 29% 2% - - - -
247 YEARLING Matthew 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
248 FERRIS George H. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
249 YORK Andrew 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
250 VENCILL Nicholas 100% 33% 5% - - - -
251 LICHT Aaron H. 100% 80% 42% 14% 3% - -
251 MENTA Varun 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
253 CALKINS William H. 100% 97% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
254 WEHLE Paul 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
255 LIU Christopher X. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
255 BURNS Caleb 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
255 HASNAH Henry 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
258 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
259 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
260 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
261 WANG Jonathan 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
262 BROWN Collin 100% 26% 3% - - - -
263 ZHOU Brian 100% 99% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
263 KOSURI Harsha 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
265 GRIFFIN Nicholas D. 100% 96% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
266 LEMPERT Levy A. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
267 GOLDBERG Gabriel A. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
267 ELIN Adam E. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
267 LEITH Jack 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
267 ALKIN Isaac 100% 96% 65% 26% 5% 1% -
271 LATIF Ali A. 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
272 ROPER Evan C. 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
272 HURST Alexander 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
274 COLLINS Andrew M. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
274 WONG James T. 100% 61% 16% 2% - - -
274 REED Samuel J. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
274 LOGGINS Austin J. 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 4% -
278 BIRKS Evan D. 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
278 NIELANDER Elliot S. 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
280 LEDERER Justin W. 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
280 LAGROU Emerson R. 100% 17% 1% - - - -
280 DHANANI Zain 100% 2% - - - - -
283 LOPEZ Lucas M. 100% 46% 8% 1% - - -
284 ALTSCHUL James 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
285 YEARLING Ethan 100% 19% 2% - - - -
286 FURMAN Thomas G. 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
287 NEGRON Hector T. 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
287 LIU ALAN 100% - - - - - -
287 NAVARRO Geo 100% 84% 26% 3% - - -
287 JOYCE cameron 100% 3% - - - - -
291 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
291 RONSAYRO Saul 100% 18% 1% - - - -
291 PARK Nolan 100% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.