Event Results
NorCal Div II/III/Vet Sabre & Foil SNQSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | UZGIRIS Kovas | V V V V V | V V V | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 2 | HARRIS Otto | V D V D | V V V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 3 | DORMAN Patrick | D D V D | V V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 4 | RAMOS Angelo Rei | V D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 5 | CRACRAFT John R. | V V D V | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 6 | WACHTEL Oliver | D V D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 7 | LEE Jesse | V V D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 8 | AIKEN Nicholas A. | V D D V D | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 9 | ARREDONDO Rafael | D D V V | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 10 | SCHWARTZ Reed | D V V D D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 11 | PIALLING Mikhail | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |