Ryan Donos Memorial

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, January 12, 2020 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 RITCHIE Phillip 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
2 POPPRE Michael N. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
3 FOUST Blair A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
3 MUNOZ Charles 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
5 FOWLER James 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 SCOBIE Rory 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
7 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
8 ECKARD Zachary 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 2%
9 MCMANUS Farran 100% 100% 99% 90% 54% 13%
10 HEWITT Frank 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
11 KING Charles 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
12 WERCHAN Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
13 TAESALI Chris 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
14 PARKER Lane S. 100% 100% 95% 61% 10% -
15 FEYRER Aubrey 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
16 LYNN Heather 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
17 PERKINS-OLLILA Justin 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
18 PABLO Sebastian 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
19 CUEVAS Tom 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
20 CONWAY Collin 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
21 ARROYO Alexander 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
22 DONOS Nicole 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
24 OWNBY ADKINS Harris 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
25 GARDEA Adam 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
26 ENGLISH Emily 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
27 BURGESS Meredith (Merry) 100% 84% 35% 6% - -
28 FESTIN Michael G. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 3%
29 LAURSEN Logan 100% 89% 44% 8% - -
30 CHANG Albert 100% 91% 51% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.